Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Mirassol

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Edson Carioca
46'
Sub
Zapelli B. In: Julimar
Out: Zapelli B.
58'
Arthur Dias

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Mirassol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Athletico-PR
20%
Draws
38%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletico-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Athletico-PR taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Mirassol
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Mirassol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 42 / 100
Mirassol 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Athletico-PR's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Athletico-PR remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Mirassol
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0
Mirassol
24 May
Remo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Mirassol

(Away)
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1
Gremio
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0
Mirassol
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0
Mirassol
23 May
Mirassol
1 : 0
Fluminense
20 May
Always Ready
1 : 2
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras19135133:1444
2Flamengo RJ18114335:1637
3Athletico-PR19103626:1933
4Fluminense1995529:2432
5Bragantino1993726:2030
6Bahia1986528:2430
7Corinthians1976621:1927
8Cruzeiro1976626:2927
9Botafogo RJ1975733:3226
10Coritiba1975725:2726
11Vitoria1975722:2526
12Sao Paulo1974824:2225
13Atletico-MG1974823:2425
14Internacional1956822:2421
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1946921:3218
20Chapecoense-SC19161217:399
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)