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Stadium Background

Athlone vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
McAteer G.
27' Event
Tollett C.
45'
Coyle D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Athlone
11%
Draws
9%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • Model gives Athlone a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Athlone Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Finn Harps
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Athlone
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Finn Harps
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Athlone
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Finn Harps
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollett C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 76 / 100
Finn Harps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Athlone's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Athlone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS Finn Harps
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822