Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athlone vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Athlone Town Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athlone play Longford in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athlone averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Longford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Athlone won 1, Longford won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Athlone and 1.38 for Longford. This points to a Longford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Athlone
32%
Draws
40%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Athlone picked up more points recently compared to Longford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Athlone Clean Sheet 17%
Longford Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Longford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
3:2
Apr 21, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollett C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grogan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 29 / 100
Longford 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Longford or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athlone attacking → ← attacking Longford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Athlone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 37
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Wexford2276925:3027
6Kerry2267922:2725
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420