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Athlone vs Tullamore

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2004/2005
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AI Match Summary

Athlone in this FAI Cup 2004/2005 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Athlone
20%
Draws
36%
Tullamore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Tullamore.
  • Model gives Athlone a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Athlone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Athlone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Athlone Clean Sheet 20%
Tullamore Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athlone Tullamore
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2004 FAI Cup
Athlone vs Tullamore
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athlone 85 / 100
Tullamore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athlone Tullamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tullamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

Solid form: Athlone remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Athlone scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Athlone VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athlone

(Home)
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Tullamore

(Away)
05 Jun
Tullamore
1 : 3
Salthill
16 May
Tullamore
2 : 1
Fairview Rangers
13 Apr
Monaghan United
6 : 1
Tullamore
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2
Carlow
25 Mar
Tullamore
4 : 1
Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Waterford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bray 0
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 1
Dublin City 0
Portmarnock 1
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 4
Glebe North 0
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Bohemians 8
Shelbourne 4
Finn Harps 1
Galway United 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 3
Dundalk 2
Wayside Celtic 1
St. Patricks 4
Drumcondra FC 3
Quay Celtic 4
Cork City 0
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 3
Tullamore 0
Limerick 5
Cobh Ramblers 6
Shamrock Rovers 3
Carrick Utd 0
Leeds Cork 0
Longford 3
1/8-finals
Waterford 7
Kilkenny City 2
Monaghan United 0
Rockmount 2
Kildare County 1
Bohemians 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Drogheda 2
St. Patricks 0
Drumcondra FC 0
UC Dublin 5
Athlone 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Waterford 4
Rockmount 3
Kildare County 0
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 2
Longford 5
Semi-finals
Waterford 2
Derry City 1
Drogheda 1
Longford 2
Final
Waterford 1
Longford 2