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Atl. Deportivo vs Deportivo Nacional

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Division di Honor
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AI Match Summary

Deportivo Nacional in this Division di Honor matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Deportivo
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Nacional
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional have won more games recently than Atl. Deportivo.
  • Model gives Deportivo Nacional a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atl. Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Deportivo Deportivo Nacional
Matches Played 20 33
Wins 4 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.38 6
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 6.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Division di Honor
Atl. Deportivo vs Deportivo Nacional
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Atl. Deportivo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Deportivo 10 / 100
Deportivo Nacional 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Deportivo Deportivo Nacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Nacional conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Deportivo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (20 games).

Recent resilience: Atl. Deportivo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Deportivo VS Deportivo Nacional
2.38 Goals Scored 6
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Nacional10100056:1130
2Caravel1061322:2019
3FC San Nicolaas1041523:2913
4Atl. Deportivo1040621:1712
5Estudiantes1030720:339
6Real Koyari1020811:436
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caiquetio1055018:620
2River Plate1053228:1818
3Estrella1052323:2317
4Brazil Juniors1034316:1513
5Jong Aruba1034319:1613
6Unistars1000107:330