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Atl. Lodigiani vs Nocerina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Atl. Lodigiani
15%
Draws
76%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Lodigiani average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Nocerina's 1.03.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 10%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Lodigiani Nocerina
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Nocerina
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Atl. Lodigiani
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Lodigiani 10 / 100
Nocerina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Lodigiani Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Lodigiani scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nocerina has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Lodigiani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Lodigiani VS Nocerina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Lodigiani

(Home)
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
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Nocerina

(Away)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)