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Atl. Madrid B W vs Barcelona B W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B W play Barcelona B W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atl. Madrid B W averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Barcelona B W averaged 2.47 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Madrid B W won 0, Barcelona B W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Atl. Madrid B W and 1.56 for Barcelona B W. This points to a Barcelona B W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Atl. Madrid B W
30%
Draws
45%
Barcelona B W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcelona B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid B W picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona B W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 15%
Barcelona B W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B W Barcelona B W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.16 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Barcelona B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Barcelona B W
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Barcelona B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Barcelona B W
0:2
Feb 11, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Barcelona B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barcelona B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B W 26 / 100
Barcelona B W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B W Barcelona B W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barcelona B W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atl. Madrid B W attacking → ← attacking Barcelona B W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Barcelona B W let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atl. Madrid B W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona B W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 71
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218