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Atl. Madrid B W vs Cacereno W Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Carrillo S.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Jimenez Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid B W and Cacereno W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atl. Madrid B W
15%
Draws
34%
Cacereno W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cacereno W have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Atl. Madrid B W are scoring more at 1.23.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid B W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 68%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B W Cacereno W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Atl. Madrid B W
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Atl. Madrid B W
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cacereno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez Garcia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B W 59 / 100
Cacereno W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B W Cacereno W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid B W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cacereno W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid B W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B W VS Cacereno W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B W

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid B W
4 : 8
Levante W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B W
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid B W
5 : 3
Barcelona B W
12 Sept
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
Albacete W
05 Aug
Eibar W
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid B W
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Cacereno W

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Cacereno W
2 : 0
Real Union W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2
Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)