Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Madrid B W vs Real Madrid B W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ortega N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid B W and Real Madrid B W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid B W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Atl. Madrid B W
17%
Draws
70%
Real Madrid B W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Real Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid B W come out ahead of Atl. Madrid B W on wins alone.
  • Real Madrid B W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B W Real Madrid B W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Real Madrid B W
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Real Madrid B W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Madrid B W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B W 16 / 100
Real Madrid B W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B W Real Madrid B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Real Madrid B W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Atl. Madrid B W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B W VS Real Madrid B W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B W

(Home)
02 May
Tenerife B W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid B W
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid B W
0 : 2
Cacereno W
05 Apr
Valencia W
4 : 1
Atl. Madrid B W
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
1 : 1
CE Europa W
22 Mar
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
SE AEM W
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Real Madrid B W

(Away)
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
25 Apr
Barcelona B W
3 : 0
Real Madrid B W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0
Real Oviedo W
29 Mar
Betis W
0 : 3
Real Madrid B W
22 Mar
Albacete W
0 : 0
Real Madrid B W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)