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Atl. Madrid C vs Alcobendas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Atl. Madrid C and Alcobendas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atl. Madrid C
30%
Draws
37%
Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Alcobendas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid C a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Alcobendas
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.45 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Atl. Madrid C
1:1
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Alcobendas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 40 / 100
Alcobendas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Alcobendas conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Madrid C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

Alcobendas

(Away)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)