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Atl. Madrid C vs Ciudad de Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Modula A.
32' Event
Barrios J.
38' Event
Castellanos J.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
0%
Ciudad de Madrid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid C lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Madrid.
  • Atl. Madrid C are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Ciudad de Madrid
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Ciudad de Madrid
5:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Atl. Madrid C
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castellanos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Modula A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 85 / 100
Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Ciudad de Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Ciudad de Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ciudad de Madrid has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Ciudad de Madrid
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
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Ciudad de Madrid

(Away)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)