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Atl. Madrid C vs Navalcarnero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Atl. Madrid C and Navalcarnero finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navalcarnero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atl. Madrid C
20%
Draws
47%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navalcarnero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Navalcarnero on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Navalcarnero taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Navalcarnero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Navalcarnero
0:2
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
2:3
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
0:2
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Navalcarnero
3:2
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Atl. Madrid C
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 16 / 100
Navalcarnero 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid C scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Navalcarnero conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atl. Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Navalcarnero
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
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Navalcarnero

(Away)
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)