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Atl. Madrid C vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Barrios J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid C and Tres Cantos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Atl. Madrid C
15%
Draws
26%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid C taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Tres Cantos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Tres Cantos
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Atl. Madrid C
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Tres Cantos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 86 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Tres Cantos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Atl. Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tres Cantos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Tres Cantos
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)