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Atl. Madrid vs Dep. A Coruna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid host Dep. A Coruna in the LaLiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Atl. Madrid have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Dep. A Coruna's 1.48 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Atl. Madrid have won 4 to Dep. A Coruna's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.38) point toward Atl. Madrid. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Atl. Madrid
20%
Draws
11%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Dep. A Coruna.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Copa del Rey
Dep. A Coruna vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Apr 1, 2018 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Dep. A Coruna
1:0
Nov 4, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Mar 2, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Atl. Madrid
1:1
Sep 25, 2016 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Dep. A Coruna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid 95 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Dep. A Coruna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Dep. A Coruna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid VS Dep. A Coruna
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid

(Home)
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
11 Oct
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 8 0 0 34:7 24
2 Atl. Madrid 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
3 Betis 8 6 1 1 14:9 19
4 Real Madrid 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Real Sociedad 8 4 1 3 12:15 13
7 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12:8 11
8 Dep. A Coruna 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
9 Celta Vigo 8 1 5 2 8:6 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 13:13 8
12 Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
15 Racing Santander 8 2 2 4 13:23 8
16 Osasuna 8 2 2 4 8:18 8
17 Elche 8 1 3 4 11:17 6
18 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
19 Valencia 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
20 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)