Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid vs Tottenham
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid 
Match Events
4'
4'
Spence D.
6'
6'
Llorente M.
Assist: Alvarez J.
14'
14'
Griezmann A.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Madrid in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Tottenham.
- Atl. Madrid are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Atl. Madrid have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Madrid, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Atl. Madrid have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 16%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2026 Champions League
Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid
3:2
Mar 10, 2026 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Tottenham
5:2
Jul 29, 2016 International Champions Cup
Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Llorente M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tottenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Porro P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Solanke D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid 84 / 100
Tottenham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid Tottenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Madrid scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Tottenham let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Atl. Madrid has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid VS Tottenham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid
(Home) 20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
23 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 2 Villarreal
19 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 0 Malaga
29 Jul
Atl. Madrid
4 : 1 Getafe
Page 1 of 3
Tottenham
(Away) 19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3 Aston Villa
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
22 Aug
Brentford
3 : 0 Tottenham
01 Aug
Chelsea
1 : 2 Tottenham
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2 Tottenham
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
