Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid W vs Bayern Munich W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares, Madrid 
Match Events
13'
13'
Boe Risa V.
(Penalty)
52'
52'
Gwinn G.
Penalty Missed
63'
63'
Harder P.
Assist: Buhl K.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League Women 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid W and Bayern Munich W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of Atl. Madrid W on wins alone.
- Bayern Munich W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League Women 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 25 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 10, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Bayern Munich W
2:2
Aug 26, 2022 Club Friendly Women
Bayern Munich W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Top Goalscorer Iannuzzi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Bayern Munich W Compare
Top Goalscorer Harder P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid W 10 / 100
Bayern Munich W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid W Bayern Munich W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Atl. Madrid W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bayern Munich W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid W VS Bayern Munich W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid W
(Home) 03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
07 Aug
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Charlton W
26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0 Eibar W
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Bayern Munich W
(Away) 03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1 Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3 Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2 Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2 Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2 Koln W
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03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1 Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3 Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2 Bayern Munich W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3 Bayern Munich W
21 Aug
Union Berlin W
1 : 4 Bayern Munich W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 16 |
| 2 | OL Lyonnes W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Arsenal W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Manchester United W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Paris FC W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Leuven W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Valerenga W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 14 | AS Roma W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 15 | Twente W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 16 | SL Benfica W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 17 | PSG W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| 18 | St. Polten W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
