Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sarriegi A.
Assist: Iannuzzi F.
34' Event
Sarriegi A.
Assist: Jensen S.
40' Event
Sarriegi A.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atl. Madrid W
15%
Draws
21%
Logrono W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than Logrono W.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 68%
Logrono W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid W Logrono W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
5:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:5
Jun 20, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:2
Nov 1, 2020 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Logrono W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarriegi A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Iannuzzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Logrono W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid W 41 / 100
Logrono W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid W Logrono W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logrono W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Atl. Madrid W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Madrid W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid W VS Logrono W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid W

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 6

Logrono W

(Away)
04 Oct
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2 : 1
Logrono W
26 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 2
Barcelona W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)