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Atl. Minero vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Minero in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Minero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Atl. Minero
15%
Draws
26%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Minero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defensor San Alejandro lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Minero.
  • Atl. Minero are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atl. Minero Clean Sheet 18%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Minero Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2014 Liga 2
Atl. Minero vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:0
Jun 15, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Atl. Minero
2:0
Aug 4, 2013 Liga 2
Atl. Minero vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0
Apr 28, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Atl. Minero
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Minero 67 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Minero Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Minero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor San Alejandro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Atl. Minero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Defensor San Alejandro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Atl. Minero found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Atl. Minero VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Minero

(Home)
25 Oct
Union Huaral
3 : 2
Atl. Minero
17 Oct
Atl. Minero
1 : 0
Sport Victoria
12 Oct
Atl. Minero
3 : 0
San Simon
02 Oct
Los Caimanes
3 : 0
Atl. Minero
26 Sept
Atl. Minero
1 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 7

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)