Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Marquez R. In: Vasquez A.
Out: Marquez R.
46'
46'
Sub
Avalo Trejos J. E. In: Ramirez M.
Out: Avalo Trejos J. E.
57'
57'
Sub
Rengifo J. In: Cardona E.
Out: Rengifo J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Atl. Nacional and Aguilas Doradas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atl. Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Aguilas Doradas haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- Model gives Atl. Nacional a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Atl. Nacional
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas
2:1
May 18, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Atl. Nacional
2:1
Aug 6, 2024 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Poveda I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Aguilas Doradas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional 85 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional Aguilas Doradas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Nacional scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Aguilas Doradas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Atl. Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional VS Aguilas Doradas
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional
(Home) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 4
Aguilas Doradas
(Away) 03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
01 Aug
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
