Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs America de Cali W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Cardona G.
Assist: Osorio K.
22' Event
Bahr E.
Assist: Castillo V.
45'
Gomez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between Atl. Nacional W and America de Cali W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atl. Nacional W
30%
Draws
34%
America de Cali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Nacional W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 20%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W America de Cali W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs America de Cali W
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:3
Mar 24, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Jun 7, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sterling M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahr E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 36 / 100
America de Cali W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W America de Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Atl. Nacional W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

America de Cali W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS America de Cali W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orsomarso W63309:312
2Dep. Cali W62317:39
3Ind. Medellin W61327:126
4Inter Palmira W60333:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W650111:515
2Indep. Santa Fe W62135:67
3America de Cali W61325:86
4Millonarios W61236:85