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Atl. Nacional W vs Envigado W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2018 game between Atl. Nacional W and Envigado W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atl. Nacional W
15%
Draws
46%
Envigado W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Envigado W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Envigado W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 20%
Envigado W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Envigado W
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 20 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.72 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Envigado W
2:1
Mar 3, 2018 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 24 / 100
Envigado W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Envigado W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Envigado W conceded in 45% of 20 recent games.

Atl. Nacional W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Nacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7

Envigado W

(Away)
06 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 1
Envigado W
03 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Envigado W
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
18 Mar
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Envigado W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 10 8 1 1 22:3 25
2 Deportes Tolima W 10 4 4 2 13:11 16
3 Alianza W 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
4 Cucuta W 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Bucaramanga W 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
6 Real San Andres W 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 8 1 1 37:6 25
2 Patriotas W 10 6 2 2 22:8 20
3 Fortaleza W 10 4 4 2 14:13 16
4 Inter Bogotá W 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
5 Bogota W 10 1 3 6 6:29 6
6 Dep. Pasto W 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Cali W 10 7 1 2 26:12 22
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 20:8 20
3 Deportivo Pereira W 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 Quindio W 10 3 3 4 21:20 12
5 Orsomarso W 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Atletico F.C. W 10 0 1 9 7:34 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
2 Union Magdalena W 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Envigado W 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
4 Junior W 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
5 Cartagena W 8 0 0 8 3:29 0
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)