Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
3'
3'
Orrego S.
34'
34'
Alvarez S.
45'
45'
Hernandez E.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ind. Medellin W haven't matched Atl. Nacional W's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Atl. Nacional W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional W | Ind. Medellin W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:3
May 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional W 95 / 100
Ind. Medellin W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional W Ind. Medellin W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Ind. Medellin W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Ind. Medellin W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional W VS Ind. Medellin W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional W
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
0 : 1 Millonarios W
01 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 4
Ind. Medellin W
(Away) 20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
15 Apr
Junior W
3 : 2 Ind. Medellin W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
