Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Orrego S.
34'
Alvarez S.
45'
Hernandez E.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Nacional W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atl. Nacional W
28%
Draws
22%
Ind. Medellin W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin W haven't matched Atl. Nacional W's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Ind. Medellin W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ind. Medellin W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 59 / 100
Ind. Medellin W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Ind. Medellin W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Atl. Nacional W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ind. Medellin W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Nacional W VS Ind. Medellin W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243