Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional W vs Once Caldas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
34'
34'
Renteria K.
45'
45'
Garcia S.
Penalty Missed
46'
46'
Sub
Orozco M. In: Sterling M.
Out: Orozco M.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional W lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas W.
- Atl. Nacional W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Atl. Nacional W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Once Caldas W
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:0
Jul 28, 2019 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:3
Jul 13, 2019 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Once Caldas W
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional W 68 / 100
Once Caldas W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional W Once Caldas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Once Caldas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Atl. Nacional W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional W VS Once Caldas W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional W
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1 Inter Palmira W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
0 : 1 Millonarios W
01 Aug
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 3
Once Caldas W
(Away) 20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
