Sport Picks
Atl. Nacional W vs Real Santander W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
24'
24'
Ibarguen K.
Assist: Martinez S.
44'
44'
Gonzalez M.
Assist: Martinez S.
46'
46'
Sub
Robayo L. In: Orrego S.
Out: Robayo L.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Nacional W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Real Santander W haven't matched Atl. Nacional W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Atl. Nacional W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atl. Nacional W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Nacional W | Real Santander W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Real Santander W
5:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Real Santander W
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Real Santander W
8:0
Mar 30, 2023 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Real Santander W
3:1
Mar 3, 2022 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Nacional W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ibarguen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Real Santander W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Nacional W 95 / 100
Real Santander W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Nacional W Real Santander W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Nacional W scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Atl. Nacional W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Real Santander W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Nacional W VS Real Santander W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Nacional W
(Home) 24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
11 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 7
29 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
12 Apr
Atl. Nacional W
5 : 0 Real Santander W
21 Mar
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 0 Bucaramanga W
Page 1 of 3
Real Santander W
(Away) 28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0 Real Santander W
16 May
Real Santander W
1 : 1 Junior W
09 May
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Real Santander W
02 May
Bucaramanga W
2 : 0 Real Santander W
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0 Real Santander W
09 May
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0 Real Santander W
02 May
Bucaramanga W
2 : 0 Real Santander W
12 Apr
Atl. Nacional W
5 : 0 Real Santander W
24 Mar
Fortaleza W
0 : 0 Real Santander W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 28:6 | 36 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30:6 | 35 |
| 3 | America de Cali W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:7 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios W | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28:7 | 28 |
| 5 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotá W | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 21 |
| 8 | Ind. Medellin W | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso W | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros W | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior W | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga W | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 8 |
| 14 | Once Caldas W | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 15 | Real Santander W | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8:24 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)