Sport Picks

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Atl. Nacional W vs Union Magdalena W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018 Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Nacional W play Union Magdalena W in the Liga Aguila Women 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atl. Nacional W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Union Magdalena W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Nacional W won 1, Union Magdalena W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2018 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Atl. Nacional W and 1.00 for Union Magdalena W. This points to a Atl. Nacional W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atl. Nacional W
17%
Draws
33%
Union Magdalena W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional W picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 23%
Union Magdalena W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Nacional W Union Magdalena W
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2018 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Union Magdalena W
3:1
Feb 25, 2018 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Nacional W 50 / 100
Union Magdalena W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Nacional W Union Magdalena W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Nacional W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atl. Nacional W attacking → ← attacking Union Magdalena W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Nacional W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Union Magdalena W let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atl. Nacional W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 32
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Huila W1081122:325
2Deportes Tolima W1044213:1116
3Alianza W1043310:1015
4Cucuta W1034314:1713
5Bucaramanga W102177:147
6Real San Andres W1013611:226
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W1081137:625
2Patriotas W1062222:820
3Fortaleza W1044214:1316
4Inter Bogotá W1043311:1015
5Bogota W101366:296
6Dep. Pasto W100192:261
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W1071226:1222
2Inter Palmira W1062220:820
3Deportivo Pereira W1061315:1219
4Quindio W1033421:2012
5Orsomarso W1032514:1711
6Atletico F.C. W100197:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Nacional W861116:319
2Union Magdalena W851213:616
3Envigado W83239:511
4Junior W83239:711
5Cartagena W80083:290