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Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Deportivo Riestra 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rafaela 2 play Deportivo Riestra 2 in the Reserve League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atl. Rafaela 2 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2 conceded. Deportivo Riestra 2 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Rafaela 2 won 0, Deportivo Riestra 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 15, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Atl. Rafaela 2 and 1.75 for Deportivo Riestra 2. This points to a Deportivo Riestra 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atl. Rafaela 2
19%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Riestra 2
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Deportivo Riestra 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Rafaela 2 picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Riestra 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Deportivo Riestra 2 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rafaela 2 Deportivo Riestra 2
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.14
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Deportivo Riestra 2
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 2 32 / 100
Deportivo Riestra 2 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rafaela 2 Deportivo Riestra 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Riestra 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atl. Rafaela 2 attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Riestra 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2 scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

Deportivo Riestra 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Atl. Rafaela 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Riestra 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 30
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Velez Sarsfield 218142240:1144
2River Plate 21894524:1731
3Racing Club 21886427:2330
4Atl. Tucuman 21893626:2530
5Union de Santa Fe 21878323:1929
6Argentinos Jrs 21877424:1828
7Talleres Cordoba 21875627:2126
8Rosario Central 21875625:2226
9Instituto 21859420:2124
10San Lorenzo 21866622:2424
11Gimnasia L.P. 21865719:1723
12Gimnasia Mendoza 21865716:1923
13Banfield 21865714:1823
14Aldosivi 218531017:2818
15Barracas Central 21845911:2417
16Sarmiento Junin 218441016:2616
17Tigre 218441015:2516
18Godoy Cruz 218431120:3015
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Juniors 218113433:1136
2Independiente 218113436:1636
3Lanus 218112539:2435
4Newells Old Boys 218104426:1634
5Quilmes 218103520:1233
6Defensa y Justicia 21895438:2432
7Estudiantes L.P. 21884625:1628
8CA Belgrano de Cordoba 21883727:2927
9Huracan 21875623:1726
10Platense 21875617:2026
11Deportivo Riestra 21874725:1825
12Ind. Rivadavia 21873823:2324
13Ferro 21864820:2322
14Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 21854921:3319
15Colon Santa Fe 218531015:2318
16Atl. Rafaela 218331221:3612
17Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21825119:3211
18San Martin S.J. 218221416:598