Sport Picks
Atl. Rafaela vs Agropecuario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 
Match Events
14'
14'
Soloa F.
21'
21'
Aguirre A.
23'
23'
Obando A.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Rafaela in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rafaela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agropecuario
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than Agropecuario.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Rafaela | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Apr 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Agropecuario
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Agropecuario
2:2
Feb 10, 2019 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Dec 3, 2017 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Obando A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Agropecuario Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguirre A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Rafaela 42 / 100
Agropecuario 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Rafaela Agropecuario
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Agropecuario has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Atl. Rafaela scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Atl. Rafaela remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Rafaela VS Agropecuario
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Rafaela
(Home) 04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3 Atletico Atlanta
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
14 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 3
Agropecuario
(Away) 04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0 Midland
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Agropecuario
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Agropecuario
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Agropecuario
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Agropecuario
01 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1 Agropecuario
22 Aug
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0 Agropecuario
02 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
2 : 1 Agropecuario
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27:30 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28:38 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:35 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24:33 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
