Sport Picks
Atl. Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 
Match Events
5'
5'
Flores L.
21'
21'
Obando A.
31'
31'
Aguirre E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensores de Belgrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atl. Rafaela have won more games recently than Defensores de Belgrano.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 23%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Rafaela | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:0
Mar 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Atl. Rafaela
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Atl. Rafaela
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:1
Oct 31, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Rafaela 37 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Rafaela Defensores de Belgrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Belgrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atl. Rafaela scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Defensores de Belgrano let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 0.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Atl. Rafaela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Rafaela VS Defensores de Belgrano
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Rafaela
(Home) 27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
14 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
25 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Belgrano
(Away) 27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1 Ferro
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1 Los Andes
04 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
3 : 0 Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
29 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
14 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
09 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
26 Jul
All Boys
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
