Sport Picks
Atl. Rafaela vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Nuevo Monumental 
AI Match Summary
Atl. Rafaela play Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atl. Rafaela averaged 0.84 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Atl. Rafaela won 3, Olimpo Bahia Blanca won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 28, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Atl. Rafaela and 0.51 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. This points to a Atl. Rafaela double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atl. Rafaela picked up more points recently compared to Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 0.51 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Rafaela | Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Rafaela scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 38% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Atl. Rafaela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics