Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela

Atl. Rafaela

1 - 0

Temperley

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Wuattier E.

30'

Echeverria M.

31'

Pardo M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rafaela in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Atl. Rafaela

Draws

90%

Temperley

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Temperley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Atl. Rafaela have won more games recently than Temperley.
90% — that's where the model lands on Temperley taking it.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 17%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 24%

Temperley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atl. Rafaela	Temperley
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	11
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional

Temperley vs Atl. Rafaela

2:0

Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional

Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley

1:0

Aug 6, 2024 Primera Nacional

Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley

1:0

Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional

Temperley vs Atl. Rafaela

1:1

Mar 18, 2022 Primera Nacional

Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Temperley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rafaela 10 / 100

Temperley 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atl. Rafaela Temperley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Temperley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atl. Rafaela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rafaela VS Temperley

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

25% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rafaela

(Home)

17 Jul

Temperley

2 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

11 Jul

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 3

Deportivo Maipu

04 Jul

Almagro

1 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

23 Jun

Nueva Chicago

0 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

14 Jun

Patronato

0 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

Page 1 of 6

Temperley

(Away)

17 Jul

Temperley

2 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

12 Jul

Agropecuario

0 : 0

Temperley

04 Jul

Temperley

1 : 0

Tristan Suarez

20 Jun

Temperley

1 : 1

San Martin T.

14 Jun

Temperley

4 : 1

Club Atletico Guemes

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)