Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kauan
27' Event
Danilo Pires
45' Event
Deco

AI Match Summary

Bare in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
15%
Draws
64%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) haven't matched Bare's recent run of results.
  • Bare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%
Bare Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Bare
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
1:4
Feb 15, 2025 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
4:0
Mar 30, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:3
Dec 5, 2020 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danilo Pires
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
Bare 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Bare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Bare has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Bare
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Bare

(Away)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)