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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kauan
27' Event
Danilo Pires
45' Event
Deco

AI Match Summary

Bare in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6%
Draws
90%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) haven't matched Bare's recent run of results.
  • Bare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%
Bare Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Bare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
1:4
Feb 15, 2025 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
4:0
Mar 30, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:3
Dec 5, 2020 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danilo Pires
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
Bare 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Bare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bare has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Bare
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341