Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vanilson
87' Event
Vanilson

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
33%
Draws
40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio Atletico Sampaio lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).
  • Model gives Gremio Atletico Sampaio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gremio Atletico Sampaio have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 3 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:4
Apr 20, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6:2
Mar 28, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
5:1
May 18, 2021 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanilson
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 28 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Gremio Atletico Sampaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)'s goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)