Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Monte Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pedrinho

AI Match Summary

Monte Roraima in this Roraimense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
15%
Draws
49%
Monte Roraima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Roraima lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).
  • Model gives Monte Roraima a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Roraimense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Roraima have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 21%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Monte Roraima
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:0
Feb 11, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:0
Apr 30, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Monte Roraima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 20 / 100
Monte Roraima 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Monte Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monte Roraima conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Monte Roraima has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)'s goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Monte Roraima
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Monte Roraima

(Away)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 5 3 2 0 19:3 11
2 Nautico FC 5 2 3 0 11:3 9
3 Atl. Roraima 5 2 0 3 6:15 6
4 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 5 1 0 4 9:12 3
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 4 2 2 0 14:4 8
2 Monte Roraima 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 River Esporte Clube 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Real Sao Luiz 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Progresso 4 0 0 4 0:27 0
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)