Sport Picks
Atl. Tucuman vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Copa Argentina Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ferreira Namandu C. D.
23'
23'
Sub
Gutierrez M. In: Abaldo M.
Out: Gutierrez M.
30'
30'
Montiel S.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Atl. Tucuman haven't matched Independiente's recent run of results.
- Atl. Tucuman are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Tucuman, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Tucuman | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Argentina
Atl. Tucuman vs Independiente
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Atl. Tucuman
3:0
May 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Independiente
2:0
Dec 10, 2024 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Atl. Tucuman
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Atl. Tucuman
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Tucuman Compare
Top Goalscorer Lamendola N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Brondo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Independiente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Tucuman 59 / 100
Independiente 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Tucuman Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Tucuman scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Independiente let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Atl. Tucuman has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Tucuman VS Independiente
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Tucuman
(Home) 03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3 Barracas Central
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0 Atl. Tucuman
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2 Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2 Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3 Barracas Central
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
30 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
22 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Instituto
12 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
4 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
Independiente
(Away) 02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
12 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
4 : 0 Independiente
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
