Sport Picks
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman 
Match Events
38'
38'
Martinez M.
61'
61'
Sub
Insaurralde J. In: Arturia G.
Out: Insaurralde J.
61'
61'
Sub
Contrera J. In: Gimenez U.
Out: Contrera J.
AI Match Summary
Sarmiento Junin in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Tucuman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sarmiento Junin lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Tucuman.
- Atl. Tucuman are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Tucuman | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Atl. Tucuman
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Atl. Tucuman
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
5:0
Nov 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Tucuman Compare
Top Goalscorer Vallejo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sarmiento Junin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavilla J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Tucuman 59 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Tucuman Sarmiento Junin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Atl. Tucuman scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Sarmiento Junin let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Atl. Tucuman stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Tucuman VS Sarmiento Junin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Tucuman
(Home) 08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
04 Aug
Huracan
0 : 0 Atl. Tucuman
31 Jul
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 2 Atl. Tucuman
26 Jul
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
26 Jul
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
26 Apr
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 1 Banfield
12 Apr
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Tigre
25 Mar
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Junin
(Away) 08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
03 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
23 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 3 Argentinos Jrs
17 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
03 May
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
4 : 0 Sarmiento Junin
19 Apr
Rosario Central
2 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
02 Apr
Barracas Central
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P. | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Platense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. Tucuman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
