Sport Picks
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman 
Match Events
38'
38'
Martinez M.
61'
61'
Sub
Insaurralde J. In: Arturia G.
Out: Insaurralde J.
61'
61'
Sub
Contrera J. In: Gimenez U.
Out: Contrera J.
AI Match Summary
Sarmiento Junin in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento Junin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sarmiento Junin lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Tucuman.
- Atl. Tucuman are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Tucuman | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Atl. Tucuman
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Atl. Tucuman
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
5:0
Nov 4, 2024 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Tucuman Compare
Top Goalscorer Vallejo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sarmiento Junin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavilla J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Tucuman 50 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Tucuman Sarmiento Junin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Atl. Tucuman scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Sarmiento Junin let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Atl. Tucuman stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Tucuman VS Sarmiento Junin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Tucuman
(Home) 03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3 Barracas Central
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0 Atl. Tucuman
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2 Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2 Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3 Barracas Central
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
30 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
22 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Instituto
12 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
4 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Junin
(Away) 19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
