Sport Picks
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
USA
MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 
Match Events
45'
45'
Muyumba T.
56'
56'
Sub
Madrigal W. In: Muyl A.
Out: Madrigal W.
61'
61'
Espinoza C.
Assist: Mukhtar H.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Atlanta United and Nashville SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atlanta United haven't matched Nashville SC's recent run of results.
- Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 14%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atlanta United | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
0:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atlanta United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Nashville SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Espinoza C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mohammed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atlanta United 10 / 100
Nashville SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atlanta United Nashville SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Nashville SC conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Atlanta United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atlanta United VS Nashville SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atlanta United
(Home) 18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0 Atlanta United
24 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 0 Atlanta United
19 May
Orlando City
4 : 1 Atlanta United
16 May
Orlando City
1 : 1 Atlanta United
09 May
Atlanta United
1 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
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09 May
Atlanta United
1 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
02 May
Atlanta United
3 : 1 CF Montreal
22 Apr
Atlanta United
1 : 2 New England Revolution
18 Apr
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Nashville SC
04 Apr
Atlanta United
1 : 3 Columbus Crew
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Nashville SC
(Away) 18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0 Atlanta United
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1 New York City
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3 Nashville SC
10 May
Nashville SC
2 : 2 DC United
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13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3 Nashville SC
06 May
Tigres UANL
1 : 0 Nashville SC
02 May
Philadelphia Union
0 : 0 Nashville SC
18 Apr
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Nashville SC
15 Apr
Club America
0 : 1 Nashville SC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:39 | 11 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | 15 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)