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Atlantas vs FC Stumbras

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019 Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis, Klaipeda
Sat, Sep 21, 2019
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlantas host FC Stumbras in the A Lyga 2019. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Atlantas at 0.84 goals for, 2.39 against; FC Stumbras at 0.47 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Atlantas have won 2 to FC Stumbras's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2019, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.25) back Atlantas to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atlantas
15%
Draws
85%
FC Stumbras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Stumbras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlantas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular A Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 19%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlantas FC Stumbras
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.84 0.47
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
0:3
May 12, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FC Stumbras
0:0
Mar 16, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
2:0
Oct 28, 2018 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantas 32 / 100
FC Stumbras 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlantas FC Stumbras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Stumbras conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: FC Stumbras registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Atlantas found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Atlantas VS FC Stumbras
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlantas

(Home)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
Page 1 of 7

FC Stumbras

(Away)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)