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Stadium Background

Atlantico EC vs Teixeira de Freitas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlantico EC in this Baiano 2 2016 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atlantico EC
15%
Draws
0%
Teixeira de Freitas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlantico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Atlantico EC at 1.27 per game, Teixeira de Freitas at 0.68.
  • Atlantico EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Atlantico EC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atlantico EC have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 20%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlantico EC Teixeira de Freitas
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.27 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Atlantico EC
1:2
Sep 18, 2016 Baiano 2
Atlantico EC vs Teixeira de Freitas
1:0
Sep 4, 2016 Baiano 2
Atlantico EC vs Teixeira de Freitas
2:0
Jul 24, 2016 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Atlantico EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantico EC 85 / 100
Teixeira de Freitas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlantico EC Teixeira de Freitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlantico EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Teixeira de Freitas conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.

Away concern: Teixeira de Freitas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atlantico EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Teixeira de Freitas
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlantico EC

(Home)
08 Mar
Atlantico EC
1 : 3
Juazeirense
04 Mar
Bahia de Feira
2 : 2
Atlantico EC
25 Feb
Bahia
2 : 1
Atlantico EC
17 Feb
Atlantico EC
1 : 2
Jacobina
07 Feb
Jequie
1 : 0
Atlantico EC
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Teixeira de Freitas

(Away)
29 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Galicia
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
15 Jun
Leonico
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
31 May
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atlantico EC 3
Teixeira de Freitas 1