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Atlantico EC vs Vitoria da Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Baiano 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Alan
16' Event
Vitor
(Penalty)
23' Event
Beleu

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Baiano 2018 game between Atlantico EC and Vitoria da Conquista finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria da Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atlantico EC
40%
Draws
29%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Baiano 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlantico EC Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Baiano
Atlantico EC vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:3
Feb 19, 2017 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Atlantico EC
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlantico EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Beleu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rafamar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlantico EC 32 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlantico EC Vitoria da Conquista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Atlantico EC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vitoria da Conquista's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria da Conquista
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria971119:922
2Bahia962121:620
3Juazeirense961217:1019
4Bahia de Feira952213:1017
5Fluminense de Feira951312:916
6Jacuipense93159:910
7Jequie931510:1910
8Jacobina92166:147
9Vitoria da Conquista92078:206
10Atlantico EC90279:182