Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Colomos, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Munoz S.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez K. In: Martinez M.
Out: Rodriguez K.
62'
Sub
Flores K. In: Garcia J.
Out: Flores K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Atlas W and Santos Laguna W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
48%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlas W's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Santos Laguna W have produced (1.03).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 11%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.37 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Atlas W
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Atlas W
0:3
Feb 5, 2024 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Atlas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santos Laguna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabweteme S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 35 / 100
Santos Laguna W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Santos Laguna W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Atlas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Santos Laguna W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna W

(Away)
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
01 Sept
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Atlante W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)