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Atlas W vs Tigres UANL W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ordonez D.
Assist: Kgatlana T.
21' Event
Asantewaa G.
24' Event
Kgatlana T.
Assist: Ordonez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Atlas W and Tigres UANL W finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atlas W
30%
Draws
43%
Tigres UANL W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres UANL W come out ahead of Atlas W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tigres UANL W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Tigres UANL W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.21 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Tigres UANL W
0:7
Jan 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Atlas W
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Tigres UANL W
0:3
Jan 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Atlas W
1:2
Jul 8, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Tigres UANL W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kgatlana T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ordonez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 10 / 100
Tigres UANL W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Tigres UANL W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Atlas W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Atlas W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tigres UANL W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Tigres UANL W
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
31 Oct
Atlas W
0 : 7
Tigres UANL W
26 Oct
Atlas W
2 : 1
Puebla W
23 Oct
Atlas W
1 : 1
Club Leon W
18 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 0
Atlas W
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL W

(Away)
31 Oct
Atlas W
0 : 7
Tigres UANL W
26 Oct
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Oct
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Queretaro W
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 13 11 1 1 48:15 34
2 Tigres UANL W 13 10 2 1 43:12 32
3 Juarez W 12 9 0 3 18:9 27
4 Toluca W 13 8 2 3 29:20 26
5 Club Leon W 12 6 1 5 20:19 19
6 Santos Laguna W 12 5 1 6 14:22 16
7 Cruz Azul W 12 5 0 7 14:24 15
8 Atlante W 12 2 1 9 6:16 7
9 Queretaro W 13 2 0 11 11:31 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 12 10 1 1 54:12 31
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 13 10 0 3 32:13 30
3 Atletico San Luis W 12 6 1 5 24:25 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 13 5 2 6 20:24 17
5 Pachuca W 13 5 1 7 25:17 16
6 Atlas W 13 4 4 5 13:27 16
7 Club Tijuana W 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
8 Puebla W 12 1 1 10 15:42 4
9 Necaxa W 12 0 0 12 3:50 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)