Sport Picks

Lithuania

Division 2 2005

Kursiai Neringa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletas FC play Kursiai Neringa in the Division 2 2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletas FC averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Kursiai Neringa averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Atletas FC won 0, Kursiai Neringa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 27, 2005 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Atletas FC and 1.88 for Kursiai Neringa. This points to a Kursiai Neringa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Atletas FC

24%

Draws

42%

Kursiai Neringa

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Kursiai Neringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Atletas FC picked up more points recently compared to Kursiai Neringa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Atletas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Kursiai Neringa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletas FC	Kursiai Neringa
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	9	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.52	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.36	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2005 I Lyga

Atletas FC vs Kursiai Neringa

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

May 22, 2005 I Lyga

Kursiai Neringa vs Atletas FC

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletas FC 33 / 100

Kursiai Neringa 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletas FC Kursiai Neringa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kursiai Neringa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletas FC attacking → ← attacking Kursiai Neringa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletas FC scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Kursiai Neringa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Atletas FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kursiai Neringa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 33

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00