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Atletic America vs UE Engordany

Andorra Andorra

Andorra Cup 2022/2023
Sun, Jan 15, 2023
3 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Andorra Cup 2022/2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Atletic America have averaged 0.87 scored and 3.1 conceded recently, against UE Engordany's 0.72 scored and 2.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Atletic America slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2023, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 2.31) point toward Atletic America. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletic America
15%
Draws
85%
UE Engordany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Engordany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UE Engordany carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • UE Engordany arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletic America, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atletic America Clean Sheet 10%
UE Engordany Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletic America UE Engordany
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.87 0.72
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Andorra Cup
Atletic America vs UE Engordany
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletic America 34 / 100
UE Engordany 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletic America UE Engordany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Engordany Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Engordany has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

UE Engordany's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atletic America scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletic America VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletic America

(Home)
13 Mar
Atletic Escaldes
5 : 0
Atletic America
19 May
Atletic Escaldes
8 : 0
Atletic America
12 May
Atletic America
0 : 3
Pas de la Casa
05 May
Ordino
1 : 0
Atletic America
28 Apr
Atletic America
1 : 4
Penya
Page 1 of 7

UE Engordany

(Away)
31 May
UE Engordany
0 : 2
Carroi
27 May
Carroi
2 : 0
UE Engordany
21 May
UE Santa Coloma
5 : 0
UE Engordany
14 May
UE Engordany
1 : 7
Atletic Escaldes
07 May
UE Engordany
1 : 2
Ordino
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
TBD -
Ordino -
La Massana 0
Penya 4
Sant Julia 4
Encamp 2
UE Santa Coloma 0
Inter Escaldes 2
Atletic America 3
UE Engordany 0
FC Santa Coloma 3
Carroi 2
TBD -
FC Rangers -
Atletic Escaldes 0
Pas de la Casa 3
Quarter-finals
Ordino 2
Penya 0
Sant Julia 0
Inter Escaldes 3
Atletic America 0
FC Santa Coloma 3
FC Rangers 0
Pas de la Casa 3
Semi-finals
Ordino 1
Inter Escaldes 2
FC Santa Coloma 4
Pas de la Casa 0
Final
Inter Escaldes 2
FC Santa Coloma 1