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Atletico Acreano vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Adresson
Own Goal
40' Event
Thalis
41' Event
Fernandinho R.

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2 2025 game between Atletico Acreano and Placido de Castro finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Acreano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletico Acreano
20%
Draws
33%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Acreano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Placido de Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Acreano a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Acreano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Acreano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Acreano Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Acreano Placido de Castro
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 3.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Acreano 2
Atletico Acreano vs Placido de Castro
3:0
Sep 16, 2026 Acreano 2
Placido de Castro vs Atletico Acreano
3:3
Aug 25, 2026 Acreano 2
Atletico Acreano vs Placido de Castro
3:0
Sep 11, 2025 Acreano 2
Atletico Acreano vs Placido de Castro
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Acreano Compare

Top Goalscorer Thalis
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Placido de Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Acreano 85 / 100
Placido de Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Acreano Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Acreano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Placido de Castro conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Atletico Acreano scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Solid form: Atletico Acreano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Acreano VS Placido de Castro
2.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Acreano

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
16 Sept
Placido de Castro
3 : 3
Atletico Acreano
09 Sept
Atletico Acreano
2 : 3
Andira
02 Sept
Nauas EC
0 : 10
Atletico Acreano
25 Aug
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
Page 1 of 3

Placido de Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
16 Sept
Placido de Castro
3 : 3
Atletico Acreano
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
01 Sept
Placido de Castro
2 : 1
Andira
25 Aug
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Francisco FC (AC) 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
2 Santa Cruz AC 5 3 2 0 22:2 11
3 Atletico Acreano 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
4 Andira 5 2 1 2 9:10 7
5 Placido de Castro 5 1 0 4 2:21 3
6 Nauas EC 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Acreano 2 2025 (Play Offs)