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Atletico Albericia vs Selaya

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Marcos M.
35' Event
Sainz B.
44' Event
Manteca A.

AI Match Summary

Selaya in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Atletico Albericia
20%
Draws
70%
Selaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Albericia lately — more wins on the board than Selaya.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 10%
Selaya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Albericia Selaya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Atletico Albericia
1:0
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Selaya
2:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Atletico Albericia
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Atletico Albericia
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Selaya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader San Emeterio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Selaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Manteca A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sainz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Albericia 30 / 100
Selaya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Albericia Selaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Albericia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Selaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atletico Albericia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Albericia VS Selaya
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Albericia

(Home)
03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
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Selaya

(Away)
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)