Sport Picks
Atletico Albericia vs Velarde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 
Match Events
26'
26'
Vicky
72'
72'
Urdiales H.
73'
73'
Urdiales H.
AI Match Summary
Atletico Albericia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Albericia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velarde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Albericia have won more games recently than Velarde.
- Model gives Atletico Albericia a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Atletico Albericia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 19%
Velarde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Albericia | Velarde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Velarde
4:0
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Atletico Albericia
0:1
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Velarde
3:0
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Atletico Albericia
1:0
May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Velarde
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Albericia Compare
Top Goalscorer Urdiales H.
3 Goals Assists Leader Vicky
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Velarde Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Albericia 36 / 100
Velarde 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Albericia Velarde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velarde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Atletico Albericia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Velarde has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Albericia VS Velarde
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Albericia
(Home) 03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2 Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0 Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1 Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 Solares
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 CD Laredo
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4 Selaya
18 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 2 Vimenor
01 Apr
Atletico Albericia
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 3
Velarde
(Away) 03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1 Cayon CD
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4 Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0 Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 May
Torina
0 : 0 Velarde
27 Apr
Atletico Mineros
4 : 3 Velarde
13 Apr
CD Revilla
4 : 0 Velarde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:30 | 68 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 49:22 | 61 |
| 3 | Torina | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 43:32 | 57 |
| 6 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 49:42 | 56 |
| 8 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 41:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Guarnizo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 37:31 | 48 |
| 10 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:52 | 44 |
| 11 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 39:37 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 13 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 50:48 | 42 |
| 14 | UD Samano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 15 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 16 | Solares | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33:54 | 33 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:50 | 31 |
| 18 | Velarde | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 29:61 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
