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Atletico Arcos vs GD Joane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
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Match Events

90' Event
Guerra L.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Atletico Arcos and GD Joane finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Arcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico Arcos
20%
Draws
64%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Joane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Atletico Arcos and GD Joane close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on GD Joane taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 18%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arcos GD Joane
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs GD Joane
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Atletico Arcos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arcos 28 / 100
GD Joane 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arcos GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Joane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Arcos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: GD Joane has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arcos VS GD Joane
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arcos

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
Page 1 of 6

GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)