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Atletico Arcos vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gustavo L.
27' Event
Moreno M. A.
80' Event
Poulson J.

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Atletico Arcos
15%
Draws
78%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Paredes have won more games recently than Atletico Arcos.
  • Win probability leans Paredes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 16%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arcos Paredes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Atletico Arcos
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs Paredes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arcos 10 / 100
Paredes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arcos Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Paredes has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Arcos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arcos VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arcos

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
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Paredes

(Away)
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)