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Atletico Arteixo vs Paiosaco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Puente E.
52' Event
Agullo P.
68' Event
Dopico I.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Arteixo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Arteixo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Arteixo
30%
Draws
47%
Paiosaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Arteixo have won more games recently than Paiosaco.
  • Model gives Atletico Arteixo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 20%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arteixo Paiosaco
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Paiosaco
5:2
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Atletico Arteixo
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Paiosaco
1:2
Nov 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Atletico Arteixo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Puente E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agullo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Paiosaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Dopico I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arteixo 36 / 100
Paiosaco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arteixo Paiosaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arteixo scored in 89% of their last 38 games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Paiosaco let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Atletico Arteixo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arteixo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arteixo

(Home)
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 8

Paiosaco

(Away)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)