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Atletico Ascoli vs Vastogirardi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ciabuschi J.
46' Event
Minicucci M.
75' Event
Ruggieri S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Atletico Ascoli and Vastogirardi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Atletico Ascoli
15%
Draws
26%
Vastogirardi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vastogirardi haven't matched Atletico Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Atletico Ascoli are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Vastogirardi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.42 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Vastogirardi
3:1
Dec 6, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Atletico Ascoli
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciabuschi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minicucci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vastogirardi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 58 / 100
Vastogirardi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Vastogirardi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Vastogirardi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Atletico Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ascoli

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
Page 1 of 7

Vastogirardi

(Away)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)